(Have not been active here, and do most of my posting on twitter Today I wanted to write something, which is tough to fit into 140 characters, so here I am.)
When making an important decision, I think it is better to go with gut-feel than with logical reasoning, especially when the choice is a close call.
If you go by logical reasoning, there is always the chance of you not considering & working out a scenario, which then leaves you with a wrong decision and to top it all - you feel terrible because you screwed up at something logical!
On the other hand, if you go by your gut-feel, in a lot of ways you are taking ownership of the decision and it becomes a part of you.
Once you have taken ownership, you will make most decisions work well for you. Logic keeps the decision a stranger.
An old friend added: your gut has already factored in a LOT more than the superficial stuff you work out logically.